Perth Scorchers vs Sydney Thunder betting tips & predictions 09 01 21

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February 16, 2021 0 Comments



Here are four cricket betting tips that Guy Giles thinks you should consider for the BBL 10 match between Perth Scorchers and Sydney Thunder on Saturday. 

Sydney Thunder to win
The Thunder have been the best team in the competition so far, winning six of their first eight matches, so are worth backing as slight underdogs here.
The Scorchers have recovered from a horrid start to win their last three on the bounce, but lost to Sydney by seven wickets earlier in the tournament.
Callum Ferguson to score over 22.5 runs
Ferguson has had a solid tournament for the Thunder, amassing 244 runs in eight matches to sit sixth in the runs table.
The Sydney skipper has passed this mark in five of those eight innings, including an unbeaten 61 against Perth in December.
Josh Inglis to score over 19.5 runs
Inglis has hit some form after a poor start to BBL 10, passing this mark in each of his last three innings.
He looks a good bet to continue that form on Saturday.
Tanveer Sangha to take over 1.5 wickets
Sangha continues to take wickets on a regular basis for the Thunder, claiming 15 so far to sit joint-top among all bowlers.
He has taken at least two scalps in four of his last five matches.

Visit Betway’s cricket betting page.

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Chot on TNT coaching return: ‘It’s not going to be easy’

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February 16, 2021 0 Comments

FILE PHOTO– Returning TNT coach Chot Reyes. TRISTAN TAMAYO
MANILA, Philippines — Chot Reyes is keeping his expectations modest ahead of his second tour of duty as head coach of TNT.
Reyes is the franchise’s winningest coach, having led Talk ’N Text to four titles during his first stint from 2008 to 2012.
“It’s not going to be easy. I know a lot of fans are saying a lot of good things, but this is not going to be a walk in the park, it’s not going to be an instant thing,” said Reyes on Monday in an episode of The Game.

THE GAME | February 15, 2021
THE GAME | February 15, 2021 | 7:30PM• Chot Reyes Returns as Head Coach of TNT Tropang Giga• The Next Chapter: Coach Chot Reyes & Coach Tim Cone• Coach Tim Breaks Down Race for NBA MVP: LeBron James, Luka Doncic, & Nikola Jokic
Posted by One Sports+ on Monday, February 15, 2021

Reyes, 57, replaced head coach Bong Ravena and active consultant Mark Dickel at the helm.
“I just want to make sure that we manage expectations because the competition as we all know is very, very tough and everyone is getting better,” added the eight-time PBA champion and five-time Coach of the Year. “So you know, simply changing the coach is not a magic formula, it’s not automatic. You really, really have to work like we’ve never worked before.”
But the pressure will be on Reyes, who will be tasked to end the Tropang Giga’s long title drought.
TNT hasn’t won a title since the 2015 Commissioner’s Cup under Jong Uichico.
Led by Roger Pogoy, Ray Parks and Jayson Castro, the Tropang Giga made as far as the finals in last season’s Philippine Cup bubble where they lost to the Barangay Ginebra Gin Kings in five games.

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My Confession: Male, Age 21 (AUSTRALIA)

Launch day for Michigan online gambling is here
February 16, 2021 0 Comments


Let me give you some valuable background info first: I live at home with my Dad & my girlfriend (she’s between houses). They’re both my best friends. I am currently going through a chronic pain type disorder that appeared in both wrists & forearms since July 2020. In & out of appointments/checks every fortnight. I am unable to do much in my day, it hurts to do normal things in my day – so I am unable to work or study anymore. Painkillers are not helping. Thursday was the day, the day I basically lost my entire life savings. Since then, I’ve been using every single dollar I can get my hands on to recover this loss & I’m sure you know where I’m at now. $8 in debt & unemployed with no income. But how did I get here? I got caught gambling when I was 17/18, lost all my money then too but it was less than $1000 (my Dad was the only one who knew). Since then, I vowed to never gamble again & I didn’t until 2 weeks ago. My Dad & I were watching the cricket & he placed a $100 multi (he rarely gambles) & won $450. We both thought this was great so I put in $50 myself for the next game. I ended up losing $25 & won it back in the darts later on. I then decided to move on & not do any more as my girlfriend of 2 years (the one I’ll marry) did not approve of me gambling again. So I stopped – until my Dad persuaded me to lie & just gamble anyway behind her back. It was innocent losses, $5-$10 here & there for the next 2 weeks. It wasn’t until last week, the day after my girlfriend’s birthday, that everything went downhill. She had to work Wed & Thu which left me to be alone for 2 days. I was very down in the dumps & just felt like I had all this money & didn’t use it (which is the stupidest thing ever, I know). So I started gambling on the races. With high $1000 bets & spent hours & hours, got up $10k then back down to $5k before I bet my whole bank to get back where I started at $15k. I stopped, went in my room & realised what I did, I almost lost my ENTIRE bank. Did I stop there? Nope, you guessed it. Eventually, one thing led to another & now I’m $15k down & $9 in debt. I confessed everything to my girlfriend & Dad on Thursday. Which they were both very supportive. I had $2000 in my bank then & said I’d stop. But I didn’t, Iost $1500 yesterday & $500 today. So yes in $9 debt. Although I do not have an addiction (oddly enough I studied psychology for 2 years before this chronic pain stopped me), I have definitely fallen into the trap of gambling once again & I only risked losing my last $2000 to not win the money back, but rather I looked at it as an outlet to make money so I can provide my girlfriend & I with a future. But this was such a bad mindset to approach everything. $9 in debt. I am stopping here. I vow to, right here, right now. I have not told my girlfriend or Dad about the last $2000, but I think I will hang onto this one for now as I can make that back in selling some of my collectables that have been collecting profit over the years. So thank god for that at least. Additionally, I may receive a pension for my condition so if that’s approved, must lock my money away. I had to get all this out & it has put me in an awful lot of PHYSICAL pain to even write this due to my chronic pain condition. I don’t expect anyone to read this all as this is rather for me. Thank you. C. submitted by /u/codesfrost [comments]

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New Games Alert – Dimit Amount Award

ผู้ชนะการประชุมสุดยอด WSOP ประจำปี 2018
February 16, 2021 0 Comments


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Jordan announces $10M donation to open health clinics in North Carolina

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February 16, 2021 0 Comments

FILE PHOTO: January 24, 2020 Charlotte Hornets owner Michael Jordan during a pre match press conference on January 24, 2020. REUTERS/Benoit Tessier/File Photo
Basketball great Michael Jordan on Monday pledged $10 million to help build two medical clinics for uninsured and underinsured communities in his hometown of Wilmington, North Carolina.
The clinics are slated to open in early 2022.
Jordan, who grew up and attended high school in Wilmington, had previously donated $7 million to set up family clinics in Charlotte to support vulnerable communities.
“I am very proud to once again partner with Novant Health to expand the Family Clinic model to bring better access to critical medical services in my hometown,” Jordan, 57, said in a statement.
“Everyone should have access to quality health care, no matter where they live, or whether or not they have insurance. Wilmington holds a special place in my heart and it’s truly gratifying to be able to give back to the community that supported me throughout my life.”
In June, Jordan had pledged $100 million over the course of the next decade to organizations dedicated to ensuring racial equality.
Jordan, a six-time NBA champion who led the Chicago Bulls’ dynasty in the 1990s, is a Basketball Hall of Famer who owns the Charlotte Hornets.

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Pegula sets up all-American quarterfinal at Australian Open

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February 16, 2021 0 Comments

Tennis – Australian Open – Melbourne Park, Melbourne, Australia, February 15, 2021 Jessica Pegula of the U.S. celebrates winning her fourth round match against Ukraine’s Elina Svitolina REUTERS/Kelly Defina
MELBOURNE – Jessica Pegula continued her dream run at the Australian Open on Monday with a 6-4 3-6 6-3 win over fifth seed Elina Svitolina to set up an all-American quarterfinal against Jennifer Brady, who beat Croatia’s Donna Vekic in straight sets.
Pegula struggled badly in the second set at Rod Laver Arena but regrouped in the decider, breaking former Wimbledon and U.S. Open semifinalist Svitolina in the fourth game before locking down her first win over a top 10 opponent.
Matching Svitolina’s power off the baseline, Pegula rushed the net to knock her opponent off her stride and sealed the win on the first match point when the Ukrainian netted a return.
Pegula, who considered giving up tennis after being sidelined for long spells due to knee and hip injuries earlier in her career, will play her good friend Brady for a place in the semis after the 25-year-old beat Vekic 6-1 7-5.
“Jen is an awesome person,” Pegula told a news conference. “She was texting me, ‘I’m so happy, I’m so proud. This is awesome’.
“We’ve all been pushing each other. Why not push each other into a quarter-final, then one of us be in the semis?”
Vekic was hampered by an injury to her right leg and took a medical timeout at the start of the second set after being blitzed by Brady in the opener.
She emerged with fresh strapping above and below her knee and though she managed to take the fight to Brady in the second set the Croatian was barely moving in the final two games.
With the score tied at 5-5 Vekic surrendered her serve to love, a double fault handing Brady the chance to serve for the match.
The American made no mistake, sealing victory when her opponent fluffed a forehand.

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FOX NASCAR analyst Clint Bowyer gears up to join FOX Bet’s Super 6

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February 16, 2021 0 Comments

F

ormer NASCAR driver, NASCAR Xfinity Series Champion and current FOX NASCAR race analyst Clint Bowyer joins the FOX Bet brand for the 2021 season.
FOX NASCAR race analyst Clint Bowyer joins the FOX Bet brand for the 2021 seasonBowyer, who makes his FOX NASCAR Cup Series booth debut this week from Daytona Speedweeks by joining legendary race announcer Mike Joy and NASCAR Hall of Famer Jeff Gordon, will contribute to both the FOX Bet real-money app, as well as the FOX Bet Super 6 app, a free-to-play platform available nationwide. Each week throughout the 2021 NASCAR season, Bowyer offers sports wagering content and expert insights to the FOX Bet brand and its digital platforms.
“Without a doubt, NASCAR fans are as in tune with race stats, storylines and the ebbs and flows of racing each week as any fanbase in America,” said Bowyer. “The team over at FOX Bet share in my commitment to look for ways to entertain, have some fun and ultimately enhance the experience of watching racing each week.”
FOX Bet Super 6, a free-to-play app where users make six predictions about what they think will happen in live games, races or events, introduces the “Win Clint’s Money” campaign for the 2021 NASCAR season. With football season over, Bowyer takes the proverbial wheel from FOX NFL SUNDAY’s Terry Bradshaw and the “Win Terry’s Money” Super 6 campaign where users get a chance to compete in the app for a chance to win real cash each week during the NFL season. A contest to “Win Clint’s Money” via the Super 6 app will run every NASCAR race weekend.
“Clint already enhances the fan experience on-air as part of our FOX Sports’ NASCAR team, and we’re thrilled to share his insight and entertaining popularity online with Super 6 users,” said FOX Bet CMO, Andrew Schneider. “As Super 6 continues to attract more and more NASCAR enthusiasts, he’s a natural fit for us, the fans, and Daytona is just the perfect debut.”
Beginning with the Daytona 500, airing Sunday, February 14 (2:30 PM ET) on FOX, the Super 6 app introduces “Clint’s Stage 2 Contest.” For the first time ever in-race, users answer six questions, all of which are centered around activity during Stage 2 of Cup races this season with guaranteed real cash and prizes up for grabs. Once grading is complete, FOX Bet Super 6 will announce its top performers during Stage 3 (pending eligibility verification).  
The FOX Bet brand offers a riveting sports-viewing experience, bringing fans closer to the games, races and teams they love by integrating regulated sports wagering content within its app and onto the TV screen through its partnership with FOX Sports. In addition, FOX Bet’s sports-first, betting-second approach includes exclusive observations from some of the nation’s most renowned sports commentators and analysts, including the aforementioned Bradshaw as well as fellow Pro Football Hall of Famers Howie Long and Shannon Sharpe. Additional contributors to the FOX Bet brand are: FS1’s host of THE HERD, Colin Cowherd; FOX NFL KICKOFF host Charissa Thompson; FOX BET LIVE host Rachel Bonnetta; and FOX Sports host Rob Stone.
With more than 90 million contest entries since launch in September 2019, over 22,000 winners nationwide and a user base of 4.4 million, the FOX Bet Super 6 app has given away nearly $4 million in prizes. Since the return of sports at the end of July 2020, FOX Bet Super 6 boasts the most downloads in the free-to-play category of Sports Prediction Apps (includes Fantasy). For its Super Bowl LV Super 6 contest, the app scored its most entries for a single contest ever with more than 1.4 million.

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การแจ้งเตือนเกมใหม่ – หนังสือแห่งความมืด

Launch day for Michigan online gambling is here
February 16, 2021 0 Comments


เข้าสู่ยุคแห่งเวทมนตร์ในช่อง Betsoft Book of Darkness ใหม่ของเรา! รังใหม่ล่าสุดของเราจาก Betsoft จะพาผู้เล่นของเราเข้าสู่ยุคแห่งความลึกลับที่ซึ่งมีเวทมนตร์อยู่รอบ ๆ ทุกมุม! มอบหนังสือแห่งความมืด หากคุณชอบเรื่องราวและเกมที่เต็มไปด้วยตำนานและจินตนาการคุณจะต้องหลงรักสิ่งนี้ ทุกคนในชีวิตของพวกเขามีความคิดเกี่ยวกับเวทมนตร์บางคนถึงกับพยายามที่จะดูว่ามันเป็นของจริงหรือไม่ ด้วยเกมที่ยอดเยี่ยมนี้คุณไม่ควรลองคุณจะรู้สึกถึงความมหัศจรรย์ทุกครั้งที่หมุน! Book of Darkness เป็นสล็อตวิดีโอ 10x โทรศัพท์พื้นฐานล่าสุดจาก Betsoft เกมนี้มีคุณสมบัติที่น่าอัศจรรย์เช่น Book of Wilds Darkness คุณสมบัตินี้มีอะไรอีกมากมายมากกว่าที่จะเป็นไปได้ จากนั้นจึงมีคุณสมบัติ Clash for Power เมื่อสัญลักษณ์ที่เหมาะสมเรียงกันแล้วและเริ่มการชนกัน ในที่สุดเราก็มีฟีเจอร์ Shadow Form เพื่อเพิ่มความมหัศจรรย์ให้กับวิธีการหมุนฟรี! คุณสมบัติมหัศจรรย์แรกที่คุณจะชอบคือสัญลักษณ์ Wild Book of Darkness สัญลักษณ์พิเศษนี้สามารถแทนที่สัญลักษณ์ใดก็ได้ยกเว้นสัญลักษณ์ Huntress และ Dark Wizard จัดตำแหน่งสัญลักษณ์เหล่านี้เพื่อเรียกใช้ฟีเจอร์ Clash for Power! โทเค็นนี้ยังสามารถทำหน้าที่เป็นคุณสมบัติการกระจายการจ่ายเงินทันทีและ Spiner ฟรีสปิน! คุณสมบัติอื่น ๆ นี้เป็นสิ่งที่ทำให้เกมนี้น่าตื่นเต้นมาก คุณสมบัติ Clash for Power จะทำงานเมื่อคุณจัดตำแหน่งสัญลักษณ์ Huntress หรือสัญลักษณ์ Dark Wizard ให้ตรงกับสัญลักษณ์ Dark Book จากนั้นคุณจะได้รับโอกาสในการเลือกแชมป์เปี้ยนของคุณเพื่อดวลและหากแชมป์ของคุณชนะคุณจะได้รับรางวัลใหญ่ สุดท้าย แต่ไม่ท้ายสุดเรามีฟีเจอร์ Shadow Form ฟีเจอร์นี้ให้รางวัลคุณด้วยการหมุนฟรี 10 ครั้งหากแชมป์เปี้ยนของคุณชนะการกระแทก แต่มีมากกว่านั้น: หากคุณเลือก Huntress คุณจะได้รับตัวคูณ 5 เท่าหรือถ้าคุณเลือก Dark Wizard คุณสามารถเพิ่มจำนวนสัญลักษณ์เป็น 5 ได้! เตรียมตัวให้พร้อมสำหรับรังเวทมนตร์ที่น่าตื่นเต้นที่สุด! เกมนี้จะมาถึงวันที่ 15 ตุลาคมนี้! ดาวน์โหลดเดี๋ยวนี้

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Lakers สูญเสีย Anthony Davis ไปแพ้นักเก็ต

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February 16, 2021 0 Comments

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What to Do Versus a Big River Bet (3 Simple Tips)

Hangover Festa 2020 วันที่ 2
February 16, 2021 0 Comments

This article was written by blackrain79.com contributor Fran Ferlan.

Playing the river optimally is what makes or breaks your winrate. 

It’s the biggest money street and you often have to make a decision for your
whole stack. The amount of money in the pot by the river often paralyzes
players, because they are overly focused on the pot size, which affects their
decision making process. 

So what should you do versus a big river bet? Well, when you ask a broad
question, you tend to get a broad answer, so here it is: it depends.

There’s a lot of factors to consider here: your opponent type, previous
action, board runout, pot odds, your relative hand strength, just to name a
few.

Not a huge help, so let’s try to break it down in this article.

1. Try to Bluff Catch Versus Loose and Aggressive Players

Let’s start with the type of player we are up against. Most players will
primarily bet for value when they fire off a big river bet, especially at the
micros. 

The only exception would be loose and aggressive players. This is true for
both regulars and aggrofish. You can generally call wider against aggrofish
than you would against LAG regulars. The looser and more aggressive the
player, the wider you should call them down. 

This is an advanced poker strategy that works extremely well in today’s small stakes games. BlackRain79 discusses it in more detail in this video:
So in practice, this means that sometimes you should call them down with hands
you wouldn’t be comfortable calling with otherwise, like top pair weak kicker,
second pair, two pair on a wet board and such. 

It’s important to trust your judgment in these situations, otherwise you’re
better off folding earlier if you suspect you’re going to get barrelled and
pushed out of the pot. 

However, just because someone is loose and aggressive, doesn’t mean they will
have only bluffs in their range, especially on the river.

The board runout is an important factor when deciding how wide you should
call. Generally speaking, the drier the board, the wider you can bluff
catch. 

Why? 

Because your opponent sees the same community cards you see, and if they bet
huge on the river, they’re basically saying that the board doesn’t scare them
and they don’t care what you are holding. 

On the other hand, if the river bricks (i.e. a river card doesn’t change
anything significantly, because it fails to complete any straight or flush
draws, for example), your more observant opponents might put you on a busted
draw and try to bluff you out of the pot. 

They can also have a busted draw of their own, as decently winning LAGs know
the power of semibluffing on earlier streets, and know a large majority of
their opponents won’t have the heart to call down their triple barrel without
a monster hand.

In this situation, you should look for an opportunity to bluff catch with your
top pair or second pair, for example. Bear in mind that this isn’t something
you should try to do often, as these kinds of situations are more of an
exception than the rule, but who doesn’t love a good hero call from time to
time?

If you’re able to pick off a huge pot with a mediocre hand, it can do wonders
to your bottom line, as most players wouldn’t have the nerve to pull it
off. 

It will also make it more difficult to play against you, because you’ll show
that you are able to call down in less than ideal circumstances, and won’t be
pushed around. 

Just a disclaimer: 

Know that it’s a high-risk, high reward play, and should be attempted only in
specific circumstances, against specific opponents, on specific boards and
against specific previous action. 

You should base it on sound information and tells you’ve picked up on, not
just the feeling that this guy is bluffing, I’m gonna call him down with my
Ace-high.

Big River Bet Example Hand #1

Effective stack size: 100BB.

You are dealt A♦8♦ in the BB.

A LAG reg open-raises to 3x from the BU.
SB folds, you call.

Pot: 6.5BB.

Flop: T♣7♠6♥

You check. Villain bets 3BB. You call.

Pot: 12.5BB.

Turn: 2♣
You check. Villain bets 6BB. You call.

Pot: 24.5BB.

River: A♠
You check. Villain bets 16BB.

You: ???

You should call.

This is a great spot to bluff catch based on our opponent type, previous
action, and the board runout. Let’s break it down.

A loose and aggressive reg open raises from the button. We assume their range
is very wide here, probably close to 50% of all hands. We have a decent
speculative hand. We can even opt to 3-bet light from time to time, but we
decide to flat call.

We flop a gutshot straight draw, and we expect the villain to fire off a c-bet
with pretty much a 100% of their range, which he does.

The turn doesn’t change much for us, except it puts a possible flush draw on
the board. The villain double barrels, but since not much has changed for us
from flop to turn, and are getting about 3:1 odds on a call, we decide to
continue.

The river doesn’t complete our gutshot, but we do end up improving to a top
pair. Is it good enough for a call? Let’s look at it from the villain’s
perspective. 

We didn’t give him any reason to assume we are holding an Ace. In fact, we
checked three times, so if they had to put us on a range, they would assume we
have a Tx hand, a busted straight or a flush draw. 

Conveniently, that’s a part of their perceived range as well. The river comes
with a scare card, so it wouldn’t be a surprise if they tried to buy the pot
there.

Are we going to be good a hundred percent of the time? Of course not, but we
don’t need to be. This is something that BlackRain79 talks about in Modern Small Stakes.

They have a significant amount of bluffs in their range for our call to be
+EV, considering their player type, their open-raising position, our passive
lines, non-coordinated board and so on. 

When we take all of that into consideration, we can infer that we can call
profitably.

As for the aggrofish, aka complete maniacs, you can widen your river calling
ranges considerably. It is also a high risk, high reward play, but these
players are the only ones that will have a significant amount of bluffs on the
river. 

Why? 

Because their ranges are already extremely wide on previous streets, so it’s
fair to assume they will get to the river with all kinds of busted draws,
Ace-high hands, fourth pair etc.

While their aggression can certainly be profitable in the short term, as even
they can occasionally catch a monster hand, they will be the most significant
long term losers. 

You can’t outrun math. So when playing against them, you should be making more
hero calls than you would usually be inclined. 

Be aware that their maniacal ways are usually short-lived, so you should try
to get them to donate their stacks to you before the next guy. 

And you usually won’t have the luxury of waiting around for the monster hand
to try and trap them. 

So next time you find yourself facing a huge river bet against them, go with
your gut, take a deep breath and call them down. Your winrate will thank you
for it.

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2. Look for Possible Completed Draws

As far as all the other player types are concerned, like fish who aren’t of
the aggro persuasion (which is most of them) and TAGs, you should be very
careful when calling big river bets. This is especially the case if they donk
bet big into you. (A donk bet is a bet made against the previous streets’
aggressor). 

Look for possible completed draws and ask yourself if their previous action
makes sense that way. If the answer is yes, your overpair or top two pair
probably isn’t good enough anymore. 

Think of it this way: would you bet big out of position on the river against
someone’s previous incessant aggression without a really strong hand? You
probably wouldn’t. And neither would the majority of the player pool at the
micro stakes. 

Big River Bet Example Hand #2

Effective stack size: 100BB.
You are dealt A♠Q♠ on the BU.

You open-raise to 3x.
SB folds, a loose passive fish calls in the BB.

Pot: 6.5BB

Flop: A♦3♦Q♥

Fish checks. You bet 5BB. Fish calls.

Pot: 16.5BB

Turn: 8♣
Fish checks. You bet 16.5BB. Fish calls.

Pot: 49.5

River: J♦

Fish bets 40BB.
You: ???

You should fold.

Let’s break down the action street by street.

There’s not much to say about preflop. We’re dealt a great hand on the button,
and we can assume the recreational player will call us down pretty wide in the
big blind.

We flop top two pair and should start building the pot as soon as possible. We
expect to get called by a bunch of Ax hands, gutshot straight draws, flush
draws, you name it.

The turn doesn’t change much, but it does add a couple of gutshot draws if our
opponent called the flop with hands like JT, J9, or T9, for example. 

We’re still miles ahead of villain’s range, so we decide to charge them a
premium for their drawing hands. We can even consider overbettting, but we go
for a pot sized bet.

And we get one of the worst river cards possible. The fish fires off a huge
donk bet. There is nothing left for us to do but bemoan our luck and fold
begrudgingly. 

The Jack on the river completes a number of straight draws and a flush draw.
If we go back to preflop, we should expect this particular opponent to have
practically all suited junk in their range. 

Fish love chasing draws, and they love playing suited junk. Nevermind the fact
that the chances of flopping a flush are only 0.8%.

Now, we could argue that it’s a fish, they don’t know what they’re doing, they
could be bluffing. Or they could have any number of two pair hands we’re ahead
of. Fair enough.

But if they did have a two pair hand, for example, wouldn’t they go for a
check-call option, considering such a scary board? 

Even fish can see three diamonds on a board. And yes, they could be bluffing,
but there is nothing in their previous history that would suggest that.

You should always be on the lookout for disrupting patterns when playing
poker. 

If an otherwise weak and timid opponent suddenly starts blasting off big bets,
they didn’t just randomly decide to mix it up a little. They are politely
letting you know they have the nuts.

As a rule of thumb in poker in general, calling should be the last option you
consider. As the old adage goes, if your hand is good enough for a call, it’s
good enough for a raise.

3. Check Your HUD Stats to Make an Informed Decision

But how do you know what type of player you’re up against? Well, the most
accurate way would be to check their VPIP (voluntarily put money in pot), PFR
(preflop raise) and AF (aggression factor) in your poker tracking software HUD.These are statistics which are placed right on your online poker table, beside each of your opponents, which tell you what type of player you are up against. This is highly useful information to have especially in the fast paced, multi-tabling, world of online poker. 

These three poker HUD stats alone can give you a pretty good idea of the type of player you’re
facing, and only after a hundred hands or so. Of course, the bigger the sample
size, the better, but you can draw some general conclusions pretty
quickly. 

However, as we all know, most hands don’t get to showdown, and while we can
make some wide generalizations about some player types, it’s better to have
more info than less. If you are using a HUD, you might want to consider adding
stats like WWSF, WTSD, and W$SD to accurately assess your opponent’s postflop
tendencies.
By the way, if you aren’t using a poker HUD yet, BlackRain79 shows you how to set up your HUD in less than 5 minutes in this video:

So, WWSF stands for Won When Saw Flop, and is a percentage of times a player won
the pot after seeing the flop. The lower the WWSF, the weaker the player,
meaning they play aggressively with very strong hands only, and conversely,
the higher the WWSF, the more they bluff and fight for the pot post flop.

Here is a rough estimation of the spectrum.Use These Specific HUD Stats to Make Optimal Decisions Versus a Big River Bet

If their WWSF is less than 42%, they are weak and give up too much post flop. They don’t bluff enough, and if they give you action, especially on the big
money streets (turn and river) they have a very strong hand.

WWSF between 42% and 52% is the average. Of course, the higher the number, the
more often they bluff.

If their WWSF is bigger than 52%, they bluff way too often. You can call them
down widely and use their aggression against them.

WTSD stands for Went to Showdown, and shows the % of times a player, well,
went to showdown.

A player with a WTSD below 20% is an extreme nit, and goes to showdown with
very strong hands only.

A WTSD between about 24% and 27% is the norm for most winning players. Players with a WTSD above 30% are huge calling stations, and you should value
bet them relentlessly.

W$SD or Won Money at Showdown (or WSD) indicates the % of times a player won
the pot after the showdown. It’s inversely proportional to the WTSD, i.e. a
player with a low WTSD will have a big W$SD because they only see the showdown
with very strong hands, and huge calling stations will have a low W$SD because
they call down with a bunch of garbage hands.

Nitty players will have a W$SD of about 60% or more, fishy players about 40%
or less. Solid winning players will therefore be right in the middle with
about 50%.

One very important caveat, these stats require a huge sample size in order to
be accurate. 

You will need 500 hands at the bare minimum to make any informed assumptions.
1000 hands is a decent sample size, but they get really accurate only after
5000 hands or so.

Needless to say, the more they tend towards the extremes of the spectrum, the
less hands you need to be sure, and the more you can exploit them by either
overbluffing or betting for value, depending on which side they fall.
If you want to learn much more about all these HUD stats make sure you check out BlackRain79’s popular optimal HUD setup guide.

Summary

In order to play the river effectively, you need to take into account a number
of factors, including, but not limited to: the pot odds, your relative hand
strength, board runout, type of opponent you’re up against, previous action
and so on.

You basically have to apply all of your theoretical knowledge at the same
time. While it may seem daunting at first, the more you practice, the more
automatic the process will become, and after a while you’ll be able to put
your opponents on correct ranges, maybe even zero in on their exact hand.

It will certainly take a great deal of practice, because as we know, most
hands don’t even get to showdown, and river spots are so rare and unique that
it’s hard to even try to answer what to do in these spots in a single article.

However, there are some general guidelines you should adhere to:

First of all, big river bets usually indicate a strong made hand, especially
at the micros. Most players will bet for value, and aren’t really inclined to
risk a significant portion of their stack without something to back it up.

The only exception would be loose and aggressive players, and maybe some solid
tight and aggressive players who know what they’re doing, and know that a well
timed aggression can go a long way. 

But again, these are quite rare at the micros.

So against LAGs, you should try to bluff catch from time to time if you
believe they have a significant amount of bluffs in their range. 

Just bear in mind that it’s a high variance play, so be prepared to take it in
stride when they actually had the nuts all along.

Against aggrofish (aka maniac fish) you should widen your river calling ranges
significantly, and be prepared to call them down with less than ideal
holdings. 

Don’t wait around for a monster hand, because these don’t come along as often,
and try to take their stack before the next guy. 

Lastly, if an otherwise weak and timid player starts making huge bets, your
top pair hand probably isn’t good enough anymore. 

Look for completed draws and assume they have it. Make a disciplined laydown
and live to fight another day. 

One bonus tip, be sure to practice hand history review off the felt. Filter
for the hands that went to showdown, and try to narrow your opponent’s range
street by street. 

Talk to yourself out loud and tell yourself all the information you have. This
will sharpen your decision-making skills in-game, and you’ll be able to
accurately assess your opponent’s ranges in no time. 

You’ll be able to read souls, make all kinds of huge laydowns and hero calls
like a pro. Just remember, practice makes perfect.

.

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